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Resurgence of Coronavirus Cases Has Begun

A number of countries that had reduced coronavirus infections significantly are now seeing a resurgence in COVID-19 cases.

Public health officials around the world are bracing for a resurgence of coronavirus cases. This dreaded “second wave” may be happening sooner than most people imagined possible.

Where Are COVID-19 Cases Increasing?

United States:

As of this week more than 7.5 million Americans have been diagnosed with COVID-19. Over 212,000 have died. Infection trends across the country have health experts concerned that a second wave is underway. Nationwide, there have been approximately 45,000 cases a day this week (The New York Times, Oct. 8, 2020).

Cases continue to climb in states in the upper mid-west. Some areas that seemed to have the virus under control, like Massachusetts and New York, are now experiencing increases. The CDC reports, however, that mitigation measures like wearing masks and maintaining distance were effective in bringing down cases in Arizona this summer (MMWR, Oct. 9, 2020). 

Earlier this summer, other places in the world were struggling. Here are reports on how a few were doing in July.

South Korea:

South Korea reports that it may already be in the middle of a resurgence of coronavirus cases after a May holiday. The country has been praised for its quick and thorough response to the pandemic, which had reduced cases dramatically. Since relaxing social restrictions, however, South Korea has seen a rise in clusters of COVID-19 infections linked to clubs and amusement parks. 

Germany:

A similar pattern is playing out in some European countries. Germany has done a good job managing infections early in the pandemic, successfully flattening the curve. However, officials in Berlin report that case counts have now returned to levels that were prevalent in April. Hundreds of slaughterhouse workers have been diagnosed with the novel coronavirus and more than 300 households in Berlin are locked down due to a resurgence of COVID-19 cases. As of October 8, 2020, Germany has 315,316 cases and 9,584 deaths.

Portugal:

In Lisbon, health authorities have banned gatherings of more than ten people. They have asked bars to close by 8 pm, extremely early by Portuguese standards. Elsewhere in Portugal, health authorities worry that travelers from Lisbon have spread the virus, pushing the case count up. In October, cases had risen to 82, 534, with 2,050 deaths.

Australia:

Australia, like Germany, did a very good job at reducing infection rates during lockdown. Now the country is starting to re-open shops and workplaces, but some areas have had a significant rise in COVID-19 infections recently. The state of Victoria is extending emergency lockdown regulations and has declared the city of Melbourne a hotspot. Although the resurgence of COVID-19 cases there is modest, the government is taking it seriously. It has called in the army to conduct a testing blitz to get the infection back under control. 

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About the Author
Terry Graedon, PhD, is a medical anthropologist and co-host of The People’s Pharmacy radio show, co-author of The People’s Pharmacy syndicated newspaper columns and numerous books, and co-founder of The People’s Pharmacy website. Terry taught in the Duke University School of Nursing and was an adjunct assistant professor in the Department of Anthropology. She is a Fellow of the Society of Applied Anthropology. Terry is one of the country's leading authorities on the science behind folk remedies..
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Citations
  • Gallaway MS et al, "Trends in COVID-19 incidence after implementation of mitigation measures — Arizona, January 22–August 7, 2020." MMWR, Oct. 9, 2020. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm6940e3
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